Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.000098 0.000109 0.000122 0.000136 0.000151 0.000168 0.000188
2024-11-03 0.000080 0.000095 0.000113 0.000133 0.000158 0.000187 0.000222
2024-11-10 0.000070 0.000087 0.000108 0.000136 0.000170 0.000211 0.000264
2024-11-17 0.000060 0.000079 0.000103 0.000134 0.000176 0.000229 0.000301
2024-11-24 0.000053 0.000073 0.000099 0.000135 0.000184 0.000250 0.000342
2024-12-01 0.000047 0.000067 0.000094 0.000133 0.000189 0.000266 0.000379
2024-12-08 0.000042 0.000062 0.000090 0.000132 0.000194 0.000283 0.000419
2024-12-15 0.000038 0.000058 0.000087 0.000132 0.000201 0.000301 0.000461
2024-12-22 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000132 0.000207 0.000320 0.000506
2024-12-29 0.000032 0.000051 0.000082 0.000132 0.000213 0.000340 0.000552
2025-01-05 0.000029 0.000048 0.000079 0.000131 0.000217 0.000354 0.000592
2025-01-12 0.000027 0.000046 0.000077 0.000131 0.000224 0.000375 0.000644
2025-01-19 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000132 0.000232 0.000399 0.000703
2025-01-26 0.000023 0.000041 0.000073 0.000131 0.000235 0.000414 0.000750
2025-02-02 0.000022 0.000040 0.000072 0.000133 0.000245 0.000443 0.000823
2025-02-09 0.000020 0.000038 0.000070 0.000132 0.000249 0.000462 0.000879
2025-02-16 0.000019 0.000036 0.000069 0.000133 0.000256 0.000485 0.000946
2025-02-23 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000131 0.000259 0.000502 0.001000
2025-03-02 0.000016 0.000033 0.000064 0.000130 0.000263 0.000520 0.001061
2025-03-09 0.000015 0.000031 0.000063 0.000130 0.000268 0.000542 0.001129
2025-03-16 0.000014 0.000030 0.000062 0.000130 0.000274 0.000565 0.001202
2025-03-23 0.000013 0.000029 0.000061 0.000130 0.000280 0.000589 0.001279
2025-03-30 0.000012 0.000027 0.000059 0.000128 0.000282 0.000604 0.001339